Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk Discussion Number  33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122024
300 PM GMT Mon Oct 07 2024

Satellite imagery and model analyses indicate that Kirk has  
completed its transition to an extratropical cyclone.  Therefore, 
this will be the final NHC advisory.  Kirk is expected to remain a 
large and powerful extratropical cyclone over the next couple of 
days as it moves east-northeastward across the northeastern Atlantic 
Ocean toward western Europe.  Gradual weakening is forecast, and the 
intensity forecast best matches the GFS and ECMWF global models.  
Very little change has been made to the previous NHC track forecast. 
The track forecast is near the consensus models.

Kirk will be passing north of the Azores over the next 24 hours.  
Large breaking waves are likely along portions of the coasts of the 
Azores, along with gusty winds.  Swells from Kirk may continue to 
induce a high rip current risk along portions of the U.S. East 
Coast for another day or so.  These swells will affect Bermuda, 
Atlantic Canada and the Azores for a few more days.  Kirk will move 
over western Europe by late Wednesday.

Future information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  07/1500Z 41.7N  38.4W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H  08/0000Z 43.1N  33.6W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H  08/1200Z 43.5N  25.7W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H  09/0000Z 43.7N  16.1W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H  09/1200Z 45.4N   6.1W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H  10/0000Z 48.5N   4.5E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H  10/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Hagen