Hurricane Gabrielle Special Discussion Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072025
900 AM AST Mon Sep 22 2025

Satellite images indicate that Gabrielle has rapidly intensified 
into a major hurricane with a well-defined eye.  The current 
intensity is set to 105 kt, a blend of constrained Dvorak estimates 
of about 100 kt with higher Data-T values of 115 kt.  Further 
intensification is expected today, and the intensity forecast is 
raised for the first 24 hours, then kept the same afterwards.  
Small changes were made to the wind radii to account for the 
stronger hurricane.

No changes were required to the track forecast.


KEY MESSAGES:

1.  Gusty winds and showers will be possible across Bermuda today
and tonight as Hurricane Gabrielle passes by to the east.

2.  Swells generated by Gabrielle will continue to affect Bermuda
during the next few days. These swells are now reaching the east
coast of the United States from North Carolina northward, as well as
Atlantic Canada, and should continue during the next couple of days.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  22/1300Z 30.6N  62.2W  105 KT 120 MPH
12H  22/1800Z 31.3N  62.1W  115 KT 130 MPH
24H  23/0600Z 32.9N  60.5W  110 KT 125 MPH
36H  23/1800Z 34.4N  57.4W   95 KT 110 MPH
48H  24/0600Z 35.4N  53.1W   90 KT 105 MPH
60H  24/1800Z 36.0N  47.6W   80 KT  90 MPH
72H  25/0600Z 36.7N  41.5W   75 KT  85 MPH
96H  26/0600Z 40.7N  28.9W   70 KT  80 MPH
120H  27/0600Z 44.2N  19.9W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

$$
Forecaster Blake